Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced CMIP6 Climate Projections Across the Conterminous United States
- Rastogi, Deeksha | Oak Ridge National Laboratory
- Niu, Haoran | Oak Ridge National Laboratory
- Kao, Shih-Chieh | Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Overview
Description
This dataset comprises high-resolution climate projections at 1/24 degree grid (~4km) over the conterminous United States (CONUS) based on ten Global Climate Models (GCMs) that are part of the Coupled Models Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The CMIP6 GCMs are downscaled using two artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, primarily based on the computer vision approach called super-resolution. We train two separate networks: super-resolution convolutional neural network (SRCNN) and super-resolution generative adversarial network (SRGAN). The networks are trained using Daymet observations, originally available at a 1 km resolution. For training purposes, the Daymet data is interpolated to 1/24 degree (~4km), 0.25 degree and 1 degree, which serve as high, intermediate and low-resolution inputs respectively. For each of the SRCNN and SRGAN network, we use a two-step resolution enhancement, the first step generates 4x refinement from 1 degree to 0.25 degree and the second step generates 6x refinement from 0.25 degree to 1/24 degree (~4km). We downscale daily scale precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature for the six CMIP6 GCMs for 1980 to 2019 in the historical period and 2020 to 2059 in the near-term future under the shared socioeconomic pathway 585 and 245 (SSP585 and SSP245) emission scenarios. We also perform double bias-correction with Daymet observations using a quantile mapping approach, first for GCMs prior to making predictions at 1 degree grid and second after making final predictions at ~4km.
Funding resources
DOE contract number
DE-AC05-00OR22725Originating research organization
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)Sponsoring organization
Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; US DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Renewable Power Office. Water Power Technologies OfficeRelated resources
- IsDerivedFrom (URL): https://aims2.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/
- IsDerivedFrom (DOI): https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/2129
Details
DOI
10.13139/OLCF/2530405Release date
March 27, 2025Dataset
Dataset type
ND Numeric DataSoftware
Any type of NetCDF readersAcknowledgements
Users should acknowledge the OLCF in all publications and presentations that speak to work performed on OLCF resources:
This research used resources of the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, which is supported by the Office of Science of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC05-00OR22725.
Category
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES,
- 58 GEOSCIENCES,
- 13 HYDRO ENERGY,
- 97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING
Keywords
- CMIP6,
- CONUS,
- Downscaling,
- Bias Correction,
- Hydroclimate Projections,
- Hydropower,
- SRCNN,
- SRGAN,
- Artificial Intelligence